Friday, November 20, 2009

Double the fun: St. Joseph's vs. BC and North Carolina at BC

Let's begin with breaking down the basketball game tonight in St. Thomas, pitting the BC Eagles against the St. Joe's Hawks.  The Eagles are 2-0 and off to a good start, while St. Joe's are not the same contending team that they had been in years past (they are projected to finish near the bottom of the A10 this year, not that I think preseason rankings are anything worth putting faith in).  The Hawks are 2-0, having beaten Drexel in overtime and squeaking out a 2-point win over Holy Cross.  BC, on the other hand, have averaged a margin of victory of 29.5 points in their first two games.  BC are 8-point favorites.

If BC wins: 3-0; BC will make their third-straight 3-0 start and most likely get to face #7 Purdue again in an early-season tournament.
If BC loses: 2-1; it won't be a horrible loss, but it won't nice either, though South Dakota State likely awaits.

I expect BC to play well enough to win, especially considering that Rakim Sanders and Corey Raji will be returning.  Even if BC were to lose (which I don't think they will), I don't think this would be a candidate for the "WTF loss" since the Hawks have at least been respectable in recent years.  We shouldn't speak of such things, however, since I think BC will take it.

Now then, onto the football game.  Things have gotten a little dire, haven't they?  BC will host North Carolina on senior day as they cling to their very slim hopes in the ACC Atlantic.  The only thing that will save us now is two BC wins and a Clemson loss to Virginia, which, let's be honest, probably isn't going to happen. 

If BC wins: 8-3 (5-2); the Eagles continue to exceed expectations with a quality win over a ranked team, and then will pray for divine intervention in Clemson.
If BC loses: 7-4 (4-3); they will fail to complete a perfect home season, and will likely be off to the Emerald Bowl (or whatever; big deal).

This is probably the trickiest home game BC will play this year, in addition to being the last.  North Carolina is hot while BC survived an ugly performance in Virginia last weekend.  Still, the Eagles appear to be a different team at home.  I could imagine a close game, but when it ends, I believe BC will have won.

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